"It should be noted that the ECMWF, UKMET, and HFIP corrected consensus models remain south of the official forecast," the forecast discussion states referencing earlier models which showed the storm nearing South Florida. TRACKING THE STORMS: Interactive maps tracking Dorian What the Hurricane Dorian models say "The most notable change in the new forecast is that it's a little bit slower than the previous one as Dorian approaches Florida," NHC forecasters said earlier Thursday. "The new NHC track forecast is virtually unchanged from the previous advisory, and lies very close to the multi-model consensus," the discussion forecast states. The track guidance begins to differ after 72 hours, due to model differences in the strength of the ridge and whether a weakness in the ridge develops later. "After that time, a ridge is forecast to build to the north of Dorian, which should cause the track to bend back toward the west-northwest," the NHC's Forecast Discussion says. Boise State game moved from Jacksonville to Tallahassee Hurricane Dorian trackerĭorian is forecast to continue moving northwestward during the next 24-36 hours between an upper level low across the Florida straits and a mid-level ridge to the northeast of the hurricane. "On this track, Dorian should move over the Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and on Friday, approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, and move near or over portions of the northwest Bahamas on Sunday," forecasters say. The storm could make landfall Monday morning as a Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of up to 130 mph on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.ĭorian is expected to continue moving towards the northwest through Friday with a turn toward the west-northwest that evening and through the weekend. "Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane on Friday, and remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through the weekend," the NHC's 11 a.m. The storm is about 600 miles east of West Palm beach. ET Friday, Dorian was moving west-northwest at 9 mph with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, NHC says.
#Hurricane track dorian update#
HURRICANE DORIAN: Latest update increases threat of extended hazardous conditions for FloridaĪs of 5 p.m. Residents in these areas are asked to ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, know if they are in a hurricane evacuation zone and listen to local emergency officials.
"Regardless of the exact track of Dorian, heavy rains are expected to occur over portions of the Bahamas, Florida and elsewhere in the southeastern United States this weekend and into the middle of next week," the National Hurricane Center says. Hurricane Dorian is expected to become a major storm over the next few days threatening the Bahamas and Florida's east coast with dangerous storm surge, hurricane-force winds and heavy rain. Watch Video: Hurricane Dorian becoming 'dangerous hurricane' as it nears Florida
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